Piousbox

I haven't followed this in a while, I don't have alerts set up for this - but as a reminder, the yield curve has un-inverted, and has stayed uninverted for some days. We usually see "official" "recessions" when this happens: not when the yield curve inverts, but when it uninverts, or shortly after. So at some point in the very near future there is a high risk of a major negative event, a recession or worse. The yield curve was inverted for a looong time, it seems, the longest on record:

as the Trailer Boys would say, the shit storm is a-brewing... stay tuned.