Did JP Morgan Chase just get a “not-a-bailout” bailout to make it a bigger systemic risk so that the global financial system must bail them out?

CategoriesGamestop_, Issue 2023Q2, Site Updates_

From u/ WhatCanIMakeToday :

According to the list of global systemically important banks (WikipediaFinancial Stability Board (FSB)FSB PDF), JP Morgan Chase is top dog as the only Tier 4 bank. (The higher the tier, the more systemic risk the bank poses to the financial system so the required capital buffer is higher at each tier.)

A systemically important financial institution (SIFI) is a bank, insurance company, or other financial institution whose failure might trigger a financial crisis. They are colloquially referred to as “too big to fail“. [Wikipedia]

According to the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), which has a dashboard showing scores and components for Global Systemically Important Banks (GSIBs), JP Morgan Chase is by itself in Tier 4 with the highest overall risk rating as the most interconnected bank with the most complex banking relationships.

r/Superstonk - Global systemically important banks: assessment methodology and the additional loss absorbency requirement (Nov 2022)
Global systemically important banks: assessment methodology and the additional loss absorbency requirement (Nov 2022)

Score Calculation Methodology [PDF]

r/Superstonk - The G-SIB assessment methodology – score calculation (BIS, Nov 2014)
The G-SIB assessment methodology – score calculation (BIS, Nov 2014)

If JP Morgan Chase were to fail, the financial system would be at high risk of a financial crisis. Which means JPM Chase is in an interesting position because the global financial system is both incentivized to keep JPM from failing and, if an institution is to fail, putting the most complex and interconnected financial institution at risk maximizes the likelihood of another bailout.

Some of you may remember from 2 years ago (April 15, 2021) that JP Morgan sold $13B in bonds in the largest bank deal ever at the time (SuperStonkBloomberg) to raise money. The next day, Bank of America takes the lead by selling $15B worth of bonds (SuperStonk DDBloomberg, April 16, 2021).

So if JP Morgan needed to raise some serious money without getting a bailout, buying another bank in a sweetheart deal seems like another way to juice up JP Morgan’s balance sheet with some good PR. According to CNN Business,

First Republic … had assets of $229.1 billion as of April 13. As of the end of last year, it was the nation’s 14th-largest bank, according to a ranking by the Federal Reserve. JPMorgan Chase is the largest bank in the United States with total global assets of nearly $4 trillion as of March 31.

Now that JP Morgan picked up First Republic, their total assets increases by about $229B (about 5.7%). And, according to Reuters [Factbox], JP Morgan just got a pretty sweet deal with First Republic Bank:

  • JPMorgan Chase will pay $10.6 billion to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC)
  • Will not assume First Republic’s corporate debt or preferred stock
  • FDIC to provide loss share agreements with respect to most acquired loans

So JP Morgan paid $10.6B to pick up $229B (less than 5c on the dollar), passes on the corporate debt, and shares losses with the FDIC so that:

  • JPMorgan expects one-time gain of $2.6 billion post-tax at closing
  • Estimated to add roughly $500 million to net income and be accretive to tangible book value per share

That’s a pretty damn good deal. Let’s look more into what the FDIC says about shared loss agreements (SLA).

r/Superstonk - FDIC FAQ on Shared Loss Agreements
FDIC FAQ on Shared Loss Agreements

The FDIC absorbs a portion of the loss on assets sold through resolving a failed bank “sharing the loss with the purchaser of the failed bank”. Sounds like the FDIC just took one for the team.

r/Superstonk - FDIC FAQ on Shared Loss Agreements
FDIC FAQ on Shared Loss Agreements

According to the FDIC, loss sharing is basically an 80/20 split (except for after the 2008 Great Financial Crisis when the split was 95/5, which has ended).

r/Superstonk - FDIC FAQ on Shared Loss Agreements
FDIC FAQ on Shared Loss Agreements

According to the FDIC, resolving a failed bank with loss sharing is supposed to be based on the least costly option (to the Deposit Insurance Fund). (We’ve seen this least costly option come up in resolving bank failures before with the FDIC and Federal Reserve contemplating requiring Too Big To Fail banks sell destined-to-fail bonds to absorb losses and reduce payouts by the FDIC Deposit Insurance Fund [SuperStonk])

According to Investopedia, JPMorgan To Pay FDIC $10.6 Billion For First Republic, This is What It Gets, resolving FRC bank failure will cost the FDIC Deposit Insurance Fund $13B.

The FDIC will take a $13 billion hit to its fund and provide $50 billion in financing.

Wait, the FDIC is providing $50B to finance JPM buying FRC?!

r/Superstonk - Did JP Morgan Chase just get a "not-a-bailout" bailout to make it a bigger systemic risk so that the global financial system must bail them out?

The FDIC loaned JP Morgan $50B to buy the failed First Republic bank for $10.6B. $30B of that was used to repay a rescue deal from March (last month) backed by JP Morgan, Citigroup, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo. Which means JP Morgan gets their money back from the previous rescue plus an extra $9.4B out of this loan deal to buy $229B worth of assets from First Republic.

On top of that, JP Morgan splits losses with the FDIC 80/20 with the FDIC covering 80% of loan losses for the next 5-7 years (5 years for commercial loans and 7 years for residential mortgages).

Imagine if a bank loans you $9,400 to buy a $229,000 house. No down payment. Just “here’s $9,400 and the keys to that $229,000 house”. Oh, and the bank will cover 80% of the cost for anything that breaks in the house for the next 5-7 years. This is an insane deal.

Which truly makes one wonder if this is a “not-a-bailout” bailout for JP Morgan, the only Tier 4 GSIB as the most interconnected bank with the most complex banking relationships and the highest overall systemic risk rating.

Are we going to see:

  1. Fat bonuses at JP Morgan?
  2. Followed by news about JP Morgan posing a systemic risk?
  3. Followed by calls to bail out JP Morgan to save pensions?

Wes Anderson – Selected Filmography

CategoriesIssue 2023Q2, Movies to Watch

He gained acclaim for his early work Bottle Rocket (1996), and Rushmore (1998). During this time, he often collaborated with Luke Wilson and Owen Wilson and founded his production company American Empirical Pictures, which he currently runs. He then received a nomination for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay for The Royal Tenenbaums (2001). His next films included The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou (2004), The Darjeeling Limited (2007), and his first stop-motion film Fantastic Mr. Fox (2009) for which he received an Academy Award for Best Animated Feature nomination, and then Moonrise Kingdom (2012) earning his second Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay nomination.

With Anderson’s film The Grand Budapest Hotel (2014), he received his first Academy Award nominations for Best Director and Best Picture, and won the Golden Globe Award for Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy and the BAFTA Award for Best Original Screenplay. The next films included his second stop-motion film Isle of Dogs (2018), which earned him the Silver Bear for Best Director, and The French Dispatch (2021). His next film, Asteroid City, is slated for release in June, 2023.

BBC’s 100 Greatest Films of the 21st Century

CategoriesIssue 2023Q2, Movies to Watch
No. Title Director Country Year
1 Mulholland Drive David Lynch United States, France 2001
2 In the Mood for Love Wong Kar-wai Hong Kong, France 2000
3 There Will Be Blood Paul Thomas Anderson United States 2007
4 Spirited Away Hayao Miyazaki Japan 2001
5 Boyhood Richard Linklater United States 2014
6 Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind Michel Gondry United States 2004
7 The Tree of Life Terrence Malick United States 2011
8 Yi Yi Edward Yang Taiwan, Japan 2000
9 A Separation Asghar Farhadi Iran 2011
10 No Country for Old Men Joel Coen and Ethan Coen United States 2007
11 Inside Llewyn Davis United States, France 2013
12 Zodiac David Fincher United States 2007
13 Children of Men Alfonso Cuarón United Kingdom, United States 2006
14 The Act of Killing Joshua Oppenheimer Norway, Denmark, United Kingdom 2012
15 4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days Cristian Mungiu Romania 2007
16 Holy Motors Leos Carax France, Germany 2012
17 Pan’s Labyrinth Guillermo del Toro Spain, Mexico 2006
18 The White Ribbon Michael Haneke France, Austria, Germany, Italy 2009
19 Mad Max: Fury Road George Miller Australia 2015
20 Synecdoche, New York Charlie Kaufman United States 2008
21 The Grand Budapest Hotel Wes Anderson United States 2014
22 Lost in Translation Sofia Coppola United States 2003
23 Caché Michael Haneke France, Austria, Germany, Italy 2005
24 The Master Paul Thomas Anderson United States 2012
25 Memento Christopher Nolan United States 2001
26 25th Hour Spike Lee United States 2002
27 The Social Network David Fincher United States 2010
28 Talk to Her Pedro Almodóvar Spain 2002
29 WALL-E Andrew Stanton United States 2008
30 Oldboy Park Chan-wook South Korea 2003
31 Margaret Kenneth Lonergan United States 2011
32 The Lives of Others Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck Germany 2006
33 The Dark Knight Christopher Nolan United States 2008
34 Son of Saul László Nemes Hungary 2015
35 Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon Ang Lee Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, United States 2000
36 Timbuktu Abderrahmane Sissako Mauritania, France 2014
37 Uncle Boonmee Who Can Recall His Past Lives Apichatpong Weerasethakul Thailand 2010
38 City of God Fernando Meirelles and Kátia Lund Brazil 2002
39 The New World Terrence Malick United States 2005
40 Brokeback Mountain Ang Lee United States 2005
41 Inside Out Pete Docter United States 2015
42 Amour Michael Haneke France, Austria, Germany 2012
43 Melancholia Lars von Trier Denmark, Sweden, France, Germany 2011
44 12 Years a Slave Steve McQueen United States, United Kingdom 2013
45 Blue Is the Warmest Colour Abdellatif Kechiche France, Belgium, Spain 2013
46 Certified Copy Abbas Kiarostami Iran 2010
47 Leviathan Andrey Zvyagintsev Russia 2014
48 Brooklyn John Crowley United Kingdom, Canada, Ireland 2015
49 Goodbye to Language Jean-Luc Godard France, Switzerland 2014
50 The Assassin Hou Hsiao-hsien Taiwan, China, Hong Kong 2015
51 Inception Christopher Nolan United States, United Kingdom 2010
52 Tropical Malady Apichatpong Weerasethakul Thailand 2004
53 Moulin Rouge! Baz Luhrmann Australia 2001
54 Once Upon a Time in Anatolia Nuri Bilge Ceylan Turkey 2011
55 Ida Paweł Pawlikowski Poland, Denmark, France, United Kingdom 2013
56 Werckmeister Harmonies Béla Tarr and Ágnes Hranitzky Hungary 2000
57 Zero Dark Thirty Kathryn Bigelow United States 2012
58 Moolaadé Ousmane Sembène Senegal, France, Burkina Faso, Morocco, Tunisia 2004
59 A History of Violence David Cronenberg United States 2005
60 Syndromes and a Century Apichatpong Weerasethakul Thailand 2006
61 Under the Skin Jonathan Glazer United Kingdom, United States, Switzerland 2013
62 Inglourious Basterds Quentin Tarantino United States, Germany 2009
63 The Turin Horse Béla Tarr and Ágnes Hranitzky Hungary 2011
64 The Great Beauty Paolo Sorrentino Italy, France 2013
65 Fish Tank Andrea Arnold United Kingdom 2009
66 Spring, Summer, Fall, Winter… and Spring Kim Ki-duk South Korea, Germany 2003
67 The Hurt Locker Kathryn Bigelow United States 2008
68 The Royal Tenenbaums Wes Anderson United States 2001
69 Carol Todd Haynes United Kingdom, United States 2015
70 Stories We Tell Sarah Polley Canada 2012
71 Tabu Miguel Gomes Portugal, Germany, Brazil, France 2012
72 Only Lovers Left Alive Jim Jarmusch United Kingdom, Germany 2013
73 Before Sunset Richard Linklater United States 2004
74 Spring Breakers Harmony Korine United States 2012
75 Inherent Vice Paul Thomas Anderson United States 2014
76 Dogville Lars von Trier Denmark, United Kingdom, Sweden, France 2003
77 The Diving Bell and the Butterfly Julian Schnabel France, United States 2007
78 The Wolf of Wall Street Martin Scorsese United States 2013
79 Almost Famous Cameron Crowe United States 2000
80 The Return Andrey Zvyagintsev Russia 2003
81 Shame Steve McQueen United Kingdom 2011
82 A Serious Man Joel Coen and Ethan Coen United States 2009
83 A.I. Artificial Intelligence Steven Spielberg United States 2001
84 Her Spike Jonze United States 2013
85 A Prophet Jacques Audiard France, Italy 2009
86 Far from Heaven Todd Haynes United States 2002
87 Amélie Jean-Pierre Jeunet France 2001
88 Spotlight Tom McCarthy United States 2015
89 The Headless Woman Lucrecia Martel Argentina 2008
90 The Pianist Roman Polanski France, Germany, Poland, United Kingdom 2002
91 The Secret in Their Eyes Juan José Campanella Argentina 2009
92 The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford Andrew Dominik United States 2007
93 Ratatouille Brad Bird United States 2007
94 Let the Right One In Tomas Alfredson Sweden 2008
95 Moonrise Kingdom Wes Anderson United States 2012
96 Finding Nemo Andrew Stanton United States 2003
97 White Material Claire Denis France 2009
98 Ten Abbas Kiarostami Iran 2002
99 The Gleaners and I Agnès Varda France 2000
100 Carlos Olivier Assayas France, Germany 2010
Requiem for a Dream Darren Aronofsky United States 2000
Toni Erdmann Maren Ade Germany, Austria 2016

Congress is Investigating FINRA’s U3 Halt & Naked Short Selling

CategoriesIssue 2023Q2

From: https://news.investorturf.com/finra-congress

FINRA Corruption

The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority is under pressure as new email transcripts emerge exposing the corruption in the stock market. FINRA currently has multiple lawsuits filed against them for Security Fraud in the State of Florida, and California. Congress has made an official request to FINRA for the MMTLP blue sheets, and investors are getting the FBI involved. The new email transcripts prove that FINRA was aware of fraud in a security and the regulator authority allowed it to trade for over a year. This new evidence destroys trust in FINRA, and the S.E.C. since they’re not protecting investors, and companies.

FINRA is a government-authorized not-for-profit organization that oversees U.S. broker-dealers. The organization states they “undertake efforts to protect the investing public against fraud and bad practices” although it seems like they’re the ones committing fraud. FINRA’s board includes Hedge Funds, and Market Maker. According to GTSX website the CEO of Global Trading Systems (GTS) Ari Rubenstein is on the board of FINRA. GTS is the first market maker that appeared when MMTLP first became tradable in October of 2021. Investors are asking why there are bad actors, hedge funds, and market makers on the board of FINRA.

Ari Rubenstein on FINRA’s market surveillance advisory board along with hedgefunds and banks

 

Congressional Investigation Letter

A Congress member is requesting the blue sheet data from FINRA for MMTLP, and a Congressional investigation letter was recently sent to the CEO of Meta Materials Inc. George Palikaras by Congress member Pete Sessions. Mr. Sessions states the U.S. House Financial Service Committee, the U.S. House Oversight and Accountability Committee, and his office is gathering data that will be helpful in oversight analysis, protecting investors, and potential legislative efforts to reform Regulation SHO and Naked Short Selling rules.

The Congress member states there have been issues with FINRA; “Several issues have been brought to my attention surrounding the trading and ultimately the U3 Halt issued by FINRA on ticker symbol MMTLP. It is my understanding in talking with FINRA personally, that there has been a “hiccup” in the matter and that there may be short positions that have not settled in the trades of MMTLP. Furthermore, the CEO of OTC Markets has also publicly stated that there are indeed short shares that are trapped because of the FINRA halt”

Pete Sessions mentions large shareholders have hired Wes Christian that is gathering information and MMTLP data, and is asking Mr. Palikaras corporation in this process. Sessions states; “We believe this data will give us insight into any potential violations of securities laws by outside actors and may potentially uncover those responsible for any such violations.”

MMTLP Congressional Investigation Letter from Pete Sessions

 

FINRA Fraud Evidence

On April 1st, 2023 the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) was released to the public regarding FINRA’s communication involving MMTLP. FOIA is the United States federal freedom of information law that requires the full or partial disclosure of previously unreleased or uncirculated information and documents controlled by the U.S. government, state, or other public authority upon request. The documents include email transcripts between FINRA and the S.E.C. acknowledging fraud in the ticker (MMTLP) and allowing it to trade for over a year. Investors are accusing FINRA of premeditating the halt since the organization admits to checking MMTLP’s Blue Sheet Data days prior to the halt.

Sam Draddy, the Senior Vice President of FINRA’s National Cause and Financial Crimes Detection Program responds to an email regarding the ticker (MMTLP). He responded on November 29th, 2021,  a whole year before FINRA halted MMTLP. This evidence concludes FINRA was well aware of the fraud and counterfeit shares occurring in the security, however FINRA still allowed it to trade for over a year.

The FOIA transcripts include conversations between Sam Draddy and an unidentified S.E.C. representative, the email states; “looks like this MMAT/MMTLP matter has now hit my Fraud team’s radar screen (and seemingly a lot of other radar screens as well). I know you have spoken to Patti Casimates and our General Counsel’s office-but was wondering if it made sense for my Fraud team to have a conversation directly with you and your folks working on the matter so we are not duplicating efforts. We are looking at the two issuers from a fraud/manipulation angle and, in fact, bluesheeting both MMAT and MMTLP as we speak.” This conversation takes place four days before FINRA halted the security. Investors are suspecting when FINRA investigated the blue sheet data for MMTLP the organization realized there were too many counterfeit shares which initiated the halt of the security.

Email Transcripts from FINRA via FOIA request

The price of MMTLP dropped dramatically from $7+ to $2.90 one day before the halt. It’s alleged that FINRA notified Hedge Funds, Market Makers, and Insiders of the U3 halt. The transcripts is evidence that FINRA was aware of the counterfeit shares and fraud, however the organization did not notify investors. Instead FINRA halted the security preventing short sellers from closing and covering their positions. Two days after the halt FINRA’s CEO Robert W. Cook sent emails out to employees to “take the week off as the organization received a large amount of complaints and threats.”

Robert W. Cook email to employees 

 

The 100 Day Halt Affecting 65,000 Investors

It’s officially been over 100 days since FINRA halted trading of MMTLP. This security was Meta Materials Inc preferred shares that were being spun-out into a private company. The company had an approved corporate action and all shareholders on record date of December 12th were set to be transferred into a private company. This security allegedly had hundreds of millions of counterfeit shares and a large number of short sellers. All legal short positions were required by their brokerages to close out their position prior to the record date. FINRA halted trading on December 9th, days prior to the companies record date preventing shorts from closing out their position and the opportunity for shareholders who didn’t want shares of a private company to sell their shares.

Days prior to the halt FINRA had a scheduled meeting with the DTCC, lawyers, and the company’s representatives to discuss the corporate action, however FINRA didn’t attend. According to the companies filings their preferred shares were not supposed to trade, however market makers and hedge funds used fraudulent information and submitted it to S.E.C. and FINRA to have it trade on the OTC markets.

65,000 investors are seeking answers from FINRA, and demanding their trading days back. Daniel Duffy states; “The actions and inactions of FINRA and its members in allowing these liabilities to persist and be substituted with liabilities for different securities in a different company, all while leaving shareholders with counterfeit shares, is unacceptable.”

GameStop’s High Option Premiums Are Popular With Income Investors

CategoriesIssue 2023Q2, Options Trading

From: https://www.barchart.com/story/news/15834813/gamestop-s-high-option-premiums-are-popular-with-income-investors

Barchart – 

GameStop (GS) reported surprise profits and positive free cash flow for Q4 and 2022 on March 21, including the first profits it has had in 2 years. This has pushed up GME stock over 40% and it is still at these levels, closing at $22.40 on April 7. This has led to very high option premiums that are popular with income investors.

I discussed the company’s earnings and positive free cash flow (FCF) results in my Barchart article on March 26, “GameStop’s Surprise Profits And Huge FCF Causes Unusual Options Activity.” For example, the Q4 net income was $48.2 million, compared to a net loss of $147.5 million for the prior year’s fourth quarter. In addition, I pointed out that its Q4 FCF was $326.6 million. That actually led to an increase in its cash balance, rising by 33% or $349 million during the last quarter.

Needless to say, if this keeps up the stock is going to continue to do well, especially if the cash burn stops as it did during Q4. This means that the stock is likely to stay fairly level, at least until the next earnings are released in early June.

In the last GME stock article, the short put premium trades for expiration on March 24 through to March 31 all expired worthless. That means that the trades were successful and the short-put investors kept all of the 2%+ income made in just 9 days. Moreover, going forward it makes sense to keep shorting OTM puts for income, given the high option premiums.

Shorting GME Stock Put Options For Income

For example, for the expiration period ending May 5, 28 days from today, the $20 strike price puts trade for 53 cents. That represents an immediate yield of 2.65% (i.e., $0.53/$20 put strike price).

GME – Puts – Expiring May 5 – Barchart – As of April 6, 2023

This means that an investor who secures $2,000 with their brokerage firm can then enter an order to “Sell to Open” 1 put contract at $20.00 for May 5 expiration. The account will then immediately receive $53, giving it a 2.65% yield. As long as GME stock does not fall to $20 or below on or before May 5, 2023, the investor’s return is secure.

But even if it does, the investor has a low breakeven price of $19.47 (i.e., $20-$0.53). This is 13% below today’s price of $22.40 (i.e., April 6), giving the investor a good margin of safety. If that happens, the investor’s $2,000 is exercised to purchase 100 shares of GME stock at $20.00. This could lead to an unrealized capital loss. However, this trade is very popular as there are now 239 contracts outstanding at this strike price.

Moreover, more conservative investors are shorting $18.00 strike price puts. They are trading at $0.20, providing an immediate 1.11% yield. Now the investor has less to worry about since the breakeven level is $17.80, or 20.5% below today’s price. In other words, there would have to be some really bad news for the stock in the next 28 days for that to happen. Given the company’s high levels of FCF and surprise profits, this is not very likely.

In fact, some investors may be playing both sides. They can short the puts at $20.00 and use that premium of 53 cents to purchase long puts for 20 cents. That gives some additional protection in case the stock falls significantly below $18.00. Here the investor still makes an immediate yield of 33 cents, or 1.65% compared to the $20.00 strike price. Granted, if the stock falls between $18.00 and $20.00 there is still an unrealized loss, but at least if something catastrophic happens, the investor’s downside is limited to $2.00 less 33 cents, or $1.67 per put contract.

This shows that investors are taking advantage of the high premiums in GME put options to create good income opportunities going forward.

Fednow and some commentary on the July transition to a digital dollar

CategoriesIssue 2023Q2
There’s a shift in the force, we need more eyes on this

By u/  Brojinacus :

I recently came into awareness of the FedNow program, and it led me down a rabbit hole. There’s something going on in the US Treasury. I can’t quite put it to words, but we need more eyes on this.

Recently, the federal debt clock changed it’s calculation from “federal reserve dollars” to “US Treasury dollars”. That’s a small but significant shift in wording. Usdebtclock.org gets it’s api info directly from the US Treasury.

There has also been a global exit from the US dollar as a global reserve currency. I think that’s because the actual US dollar is changing definitions right under our noses.

Here is it:

The federal reserve controls paper money. Congress controls the federal reserve.

The US Treasury is rolling out FedNow, which is going to incorporate a digital dollar. This will render the federal reserve useless and greatly affect congresses ability to affect monetary policy.

Secretary of treasury made announcements on March 28 and March 30 hinting at a solution to the United States financial problems.

On April 6th the US Treasury announced a strategic operating plan. Page 80 is particularly interesting.

Executive branch also issued funds to the IRS for new hires.

I think Fednow is that proposed solution, and the IRS will run Fednow and roll out the United States digital dollar through it. And they will be able to view all of our finances, and halt purchases in an instant. For any reason.

I also found an interesting document from the US Treasury titled “Description of extraordinary measures”. I think line item 1.B. is important

One time measure available last day of June. It looks like the Treasury can pull 143 billion from federal reserve pensions and reinvest it. I may not understand that correctly, but it lines up with Fednow launching in july. Link below

There was also some concerning wording on page 78 of the US Treasury action plan. It regards differential tax rates based on demographics and race

Links below

March 28:

https://home.treasury.gov/news/featured-stories/remarks-by-secretary-janet-l-yellen-on-anti-corruption-as-a-cornerstone-of-a-fair-accountable-and-democratic-economy-at-the-summit-for-democracy

March 30:

https://home.treasury.gov/news/featured-stories/remarks-by-secretary-of-the-treasury-janet-l-yellen-at-the-national-association-for-business-economics-39th-annual-economic-policy-conference

April 6:

https://home.treasury.gov/news/featured-stories/treasury-irs-release-plan-to-deliver-improved-service-for-americans-reduce-deficit-by-hundreds-of-billions

Us Treasury strategic plan, read objective 4 on page 80:

https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/p3744.pdf

Us Treasury “extraordinary measures”

https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/136/Description_Extraordinary_Measures-2023_01_19.pdf

A little dive into the seismic GME graph

CategoriesGamestop_, Issue 2023Q2
With pretty pictures!

From u/ HansAuger :

Hello my highly regarded apes,

this week fellow regard Spinmoon pulled a graph from the vault and presented to the hive, and it was rewelcomed with the usual cheers, shit-flinging and excited chest bumps, the usual healthy hypey stuff that us smooth brains like to do when we get some new fodder to support the MOASS thesis. I am talking of course of this post here. It should be said, that the graph itself comes from another community member,, Antoine_FRITOT. I don’t know where they have got it from, or if they are the originator of the graph.

Seismic activity go brrrrrrr

Now, when I skimmed through the comments, I noticed a lot of comments who had questions about the exact method that was used to derive this graph and how it compares to other stocks. Now, my brain is so smooth that I was part of some mulecular experiment once. Don’t ask me what it was about, I just participated because I was promised two bananas a day and one of the lead scientists was the boyfriend of my wife at the time, so I trusted him. And I am especially not a data scientist. But I do dabble with python every once in a while. So I took some time to look into the data and if I could recreate it. And although I can not say what the original creator of the graph did, I think I came reasonably close to recreate their results.

So here is my representation of the data, how I created it and some other data points, which will hopefully answer some questions and inspire some more questions.

Here is my version of the graph:

First of all, the data I used for this graph comes from NASDAQ, which offers historical stock market data for plenty tickers, GME specifically I have from here. This gives us a stock’s open price, close price and traded volume for each trading day for the last 5 years, which is all that we need.

The first graph just shows the closing price for each day, I’m sure you are familiar with that shape. To come to the second graph, I did the following:

  • Subtract close price from open price for each day

  • Normalize this data by dividing by the average of both prices (0.5 * (open_price + close_price))

  • Divide by the volume of that day

I did the same for some of the basket stocks and some of the other old familiars, keeping the y-axis in the same scale to make comparison easier. As you can see, other basket stocks have had similar seismic activity, although compared to GME, they are rather in decline. Boomer stocks however are basically flatlining.

The code I used to derive these graphs is available here. You can use it for your own purposes or verify my findings if you wish. If you have other suggestions of what to look at, feel free to suggest something in the comments and I might look into it.

BUY HODL DRS and keep that receipt porn up ??????